Northern Queensland Permaculture

Earth Care, People Care, Fair Share

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wiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2020/09/23 20:22] jaffawiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2023/05/01 19:54] (current) – removed jaffa
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-====== Initial comments ====== 
-Preparation takes time. 
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-====== What can I do? ====== 
-  * Share excitement of your vegetable garden with collegues and neighbours  
-  * Meet your neighbour, and simply say hello. No need to too much pomp. 
-  * Start community building, by initially being visible in your street, in a non threatening way, such as planting a garden in your nature strip on the street  
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- 
-====== Key up and coming themes ====== 
-The future is rapidly approaching, a number of deeply interconnected issues are converging upon the global industrial civilisation that threaten stability and existence. These include: 
-  - **Climate change** (affecting water availability, consistent annual based agricultural production, increased prevalence of extreme disruptive weather events, rising sea levels, change in rainfall patterns) 
-  - **Over population** (driving species diversity loss, increase risk of warfare, increased risks of migration, resource over consumption) 
-  - **Species loss** (loss of biodiversity, eco system support structures fragility and die offs) 
-  - **Resource depletion** (phosphorous for agriculture, diesel for transportation fuels, degrading ores used to replace failed infrastructure such as copper, tin, zinc, lead, gold, silver, rare earths etc.) 
-  - **Financial crisis** (exponential debt based monetary system approaching limits to expansion) 
-  - **Social media** usage increasing (polarisation of societies) 
-  - **Acidification of the oceans** (loss of biodiversity, and decrease in species resilience) 
-  - **Top soil erosion** in agricultural areas (increases dependence on fertilisers which are industrially produced or mined) 
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-It must be noted that continued existence of the globalised industrial civilisation is impossible. Business as usual will lead to ruin, the best individuals can do is understand that humanity does not face a problem, or even a set of problems. Humanity faces multiple converging predicaments. 
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-**The distinction boils down to this: problems have solutions; predicaments have outcomes** 
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-^Theme^Comments^ 
-|Global financial crisis - liquidity crunch & economic depression | Given that the cost of capital will be very high, and there will be little purchasing power, proposed solutions which are capital-intensive will lie outside solution space| 
-|The Psychological driver of deflation and the collapse of the trust horizon | Proposed solutions to our predicament that depend on the functioning of large scale organisations operating in a top-down manner do not lie within viable solution space| 
-|Instability and the "discount rate"| Given the coming rise in collective discount rates, if proposed solutions depend on the ability for societies to engage in rational planning for longer terms goals, then those solutions are not part of the solution space| 
-|The phycology of contraction and social context| If proposed solutions depend on a cooperative social context at large scale, they will not be part of solution space| 
-|Energy - demand collapse followed by supply collapse| Given that the energy supply will be falling, and that there will, over time, be competition for increasingly scarce energy resources that we can no longer take for granted, proposed solutions which are energy intensive will lie outside solution space| 
-|Declining energy profit ratio and socioeconomic complexity| Proposed solutions dependent on the current level of socioeconomic complexity do not lie within solution space| 
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-**--//Source: [[https://www.foss.blog/2015/08/20/the-boundaries-and-future-of-solution-space/]]** 
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