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wiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2020/09/23 20:02] – jaffa | wiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2023/05/01 19:54] (current) – removed jaffa | ||
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- | ====== Initial comments ====== | ||
- | Preparation takes time. | ||
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- | ====== Key up and coming themes ====== | ||
- | The future is rapidly approaching, | ||
- | - Climate change (affecting water availability, | ||
- | - Over population (driving species diversity loss, increase risk of warfare, increased risks of migration, resource over consumption) | ||
- | - Species loss (loss of biodiversity, | ||
- | - Resource depletion (phosphorous for agriculture, | ||
- | - Financial crisis (exponential debt based monetary system approaching limits to expansion) | ||
- | - Social media usage increasing (polarisation of societies) | ||
- | - Acidification of the oceans (loss of biodiversity, | ||
- | - Top soil erosion in agricultural areas (increases dependence on fertilisers which are industrially produced or mined) | ||
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- | It must be noted that continued existence of the globalised industrial civilisation is impossible. Business as usual will lead to ruin, the best individuals can do is understand that humanity does not face a problem, or even a set of problems. Humanity faces multiple converging predicaments. | ||
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- | **The distinction boils down to this: problems have solutions; predicaments have outcomes** | ||
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- | ^Theme^Comments^ | ||
- | |Global financial crisis - liquidity crunch & economic depression | Given that the cost of capital will be very high, and there will be little purchasing power, proposed solutions which are capital-intensive will lie outside solution space| | ||
- | |The Psychological driver of deflation and the collapse of the trust horizon | Proposed solutions to our predicament that depend on the functioning of large scale organisations operating in a top-down manner do not lie within viable solution space| | ||
- | |Instability and the " | ||
- | |The phycology of contraction and social context| If proposed solutions depend on a cooperative social context at large scale, they will not be part of solution space| | ||
- | |Energy - demand collapse followed by supply collapse| Given that the energy supply will be falling, and that there will, over time, be competition for increasingly scarce energy resources that we can no longer take for granted, proposed solutions which are energy intensive will lie outside solution space| | ||
- | |Declining energy profit ratio and socioeconomic complexity| Proposed solutions dependent on the current level of socioeconomic complexity do not lie within solution space| | ||
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- | **--// | ||
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