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| wiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2020/09/23 13:57] – jaffa | wiki:solution_space_of_the_predicament [2020/10/13 19:47] – [What can I do?] jaffa |
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| | ====== Initial comments on solution space ====== |
| | * Adaptation in situ is required, retrofit suburbia. |
| | * Start small, start slow. |
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| | ====== What can I do? ====== |
| | * Share excitement of your vegetable garden with collegues and neighbours |
| | * Meet your neighbours |
| | * Start community building in your local street |
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| ====== Key up and coming themes ====== | ====== Key up and coming themes ====== |
| The future is rapidly approaching, a number of deeply interconnected issues are converging upon the global industrial civilisation that threaten its existence. These include: | The future is rapidly approaching, a number of deeply interconnected issues are converging upon the global industrial civilisation that threaten stability and existence. These include: |
| - Climate change (affecting water availability, consistent annual based agricultural production, increased prevalence of extreme disruptive weather events, rising sea levels, change in rainfall patterns) | - **Climate change** |
| - Over population (driving species diversity loss, increase risk of warfare, increased risks of migration, resource over consumption) | - **Over population** |
| - Species loss (loss of biodiversity, eco system support structures fragility and die offs) | - **Species loss** |
| - Resource depletion (phosphorous for agriculture, diesel for transportation fuels, degrading ores used to replace failed infrastructure such as copper, tin, zinc, lead, gold, silver, rare earths etc.) | - **Resource depletion** |
| - Financial crisis (exponential debt based monetary system approaching limits to expansion) | - **Financial crisis** |
| - Social media usage increasing (polarisation of societies) | - **Social media** |
| - Acidification of the oceans (loss of biodiversity, and decrease in species resilience) | - **Acidification of the oceans** |
| - Top soil erosion in agricultural areas (increases dependence on fertilisers which are industrially produced or mined) | - **Top soil erosion** |
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| ^Theme^Comments^ | Humanity faces multiple converging predicaments. |
| |Global financial crisis - liquidity crunch & economic depression | Given that the cost of capital will be very high, and there will be little purchasing power, proposed solutions which are capital-intensive will lie outside solution space| | |
| |The Psychological driver of deflation and the collapse of the trust horizon | Proposed solutions to our predicament that depend on the functioning of large scale organisations operating in a top-down manner do not lie within viable solution space| | **The distinction boils down to this: problems have solutions; predicaments have outcomes** |
| |Instability and the "discount rate"| Given the coming rise in collective discount rates, if proposed solutions depend on the ability for societies to engage in rational planning for longer terms goals, then those solutions are not part of the solution space| | |
| |The phycology of contraction and social context| If proposed solutions depend on a cooperative social context at large scale, they will not be part of solution space| | ^Solution Space^Comment^ |
| |Energy - demand collapse followed by supply collapse| Given that the energy supply will be falling, and that there will, over time, be competition for increasingly scarce energy resources that we can no longer take for granted, proposed solutions which are energy intensive will lie outside solution space| | |Capital intensive projects| Outside of solution space| |
| |Declining energy profit ratio and socioeconomic complexity| Proposed solutions dependent on the current level of socioeconomic complexity do not lie within solution space| | |Requires large scale societal engagement in rational planning for long term goals| Outside of solution space| |
| | |Requires functioning of large scale organisations operating in a top-down manner| Outside of solution space| |
| | |Dependant on a large scale cooperative social context| Outside of solution space| |
| | |Energy intensive projects| Outside of solution space| |
| | |Dependant on the current level of socioeconomic complexity| Outside of solution space| |
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| **--//Source: [[https://www.foss.blog/2015/08/20/the-boundaries-and-future-of-solution-space/]]** | **--//Source: [[https://www.foss.blog/2015/08/20/the-boundaries-and-future-of-solution-space/]]** |
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